What yield does a Bitcoin mining investment produce?
Deploy capital as a working capital pool. The pool pays miners daily under FPPS. You earn the pool fee margin when blocks are found (PPLNS). Model expected yield, block luck variance, and minimum buffer requirements.
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Live Network Data
Auto-loaded from mempool.space — override any field
BTC Price (USD)
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Current Bitcoin spot price. Used for USD display only — does not affect BTC yield calculations.
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Network Hashrate (EH/s)
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Total global mining power. Your hashrate share determines expected block frequency.
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Network Difficulty
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Bitcoin's proof-of-work target. Directly determines the daily FPPS rate per unit of hashrate. Adjusts every ~2 weeks.
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Avg Tx Fees / Block (BTC)
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Average transaction fees per block over last 144 blocks. Included in both FPPS obligations to miners and block rewards received by pool.
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Your Capital
Capital to Deploy
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25 BTC buys 1 EH/s for 60 days. Funds daily FPPS payments to miners and acts as buffer against bad luck streaks.
₿
≈ loading… · 1.00 EH/s purchased
Or enter in USD
$
Lock Period
Custom period (days)
60-day lock · capital + yield returned at maturity
Pool Fee (to investor) 1.0%
Fee charged to miners on FPPS rate → goes to investor
BTC per EH/s (60d rate) 25 BTC
Capital required per 1 EH/s per 60 days
Block Subsidy (BTC)
Current block reward. Next halving ~2028
Monte Carlo Runs
More runs = more accurate distribution
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Projected Returns
60-day projection
Total BTC Earned (Expected)
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Investor Yield
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Annualised Rate
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projected annual yield
Hashrate Purchased
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FPPS Rate (net to miner)
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sat / TH / day
Daily FPPS Obligation
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paid to miners daily
Expected Blocks Found
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Cumulative BTC Earned vs Capital Deployed
Return Breakdown
ℹ Click Run Full Simulation above to generate the Monte Carlo distribution using Poisson-distributed block timing across all simulations.
P10 — Bad Luck
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Worst 10% of simulations
P50 — Median
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Most likely outcome
P90 — Good Luck
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Best 90% of simulations
Yield Distribution — — simulations
Inter-Block Time Distribution (hours between blocks)
Buffer Adequacy
Run simulation to analyse
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0%Buffer vs 99% worst-case FPPS exposure100%
Run the simulation to see whether your capital covers FPPS obligations during bad luck streaks.
90% Confidence
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max FPPS exposure
95% Confidence
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max FPPS exposure
99% Confidence
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max FPPS exposure
99.9% Confidence
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max FPPS exposure
Max FPPS Drawdown Distribution (worst streak per simulation)
Expected Block Events
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Block #
Expected Day
Block Reward
FPPS Paid (period)
Investor Fee Income
Cumulative BTC
Cumulative Yield
Important: This simulator models gross mining economics under FPPS/PPLNS using live network data.
It does not account for electricity costs, hardware depreciation, operational expenses, or tax obligations.
Bitcoin price, network hashrate, transaction fees, and difficulty fluctuate continuously — actual returns will differ.
Monte Carlo simulations assume Poisson-distributed block times and do not model mid-period difficulty adjustments.
For planning and illustration only. Not financial advice.